Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000870 0.000904 0.000940 0.000978 0.001019 0.001061 0.001108
2025-10-12 0.000809 0.000859 0.000912 0.000972 0.001039 0.001110 0.001192
2025-10-19 0.000763 0.000824 0.000891 0.000969 0.001057 0.001154 0.001271
2025-10-26 0.000722 0.000792 0.000868 0.000960 0.001066 0.001187 0.001337
2025-11-02 0.000695 0.000771 0.000857 0.000961 0.001085 0.001231 0.001416
2025-11-09 0.000665 0.000746 0.000837 0.000951 0.001089 0.001254 0.001470
2025-11-16 0.000639 0.000722 0.000819 0.000940 0.001090 0.001273 0.001519
2025-11-23 0.000629 0.000718 0.000822 0.000954 0.001122 0.001332 0.001620
2025-11-30 0.000614 0.000706 0.000816 0.000957 0.001139 0.001371 0.001697
2025-12-07 0.000594 0.000687 0.000799 0.000946 0.001137 0.001384 0.001739
2025-12-14 0.000573 0.000667 0.000781 0.000931 0.001129 0.001389 0.001770
2025-12-21 0.000558 0.000653 0.000769 0.000924 0.001131 0.001407 0.001818
2025-12-28 0.000532 0.000625 0.000738 0.000892 0.001098 0.001376 0.001797
2026-01-04 0.000520 0.000614 0.000730 0.000888 0.001104 0.001400 0.001855
2026-01-11 0.000509 0.000604 0.000723 0.000886 0.001111 0.001424 0.001916
2026-01-18 0.000496 0.000592 0.000712 0.000878 0.001110 0.001437 0.001961
2026-01-25 0.000488 0.000585 0.000708 0.000880 0.001122 0.001469 0.002037
2026-02-01 0.000477 0.000573 0.000697 0.000870 0.001119 0.001478 0.002076
2026-02-08 0.000465 0.000562 0.000685 0.000861 0.001114 0.001485 0.002111
2026-02-15 0.000463 0.000562 0.000690 0.000874 0.001142 0.001542 0.002235
2026-02-22 0.000457 0.000557 0.000687 0.000876 0.001155 0.001576 0.002321
2026-03-01 0.000447 0.000546 0.000676 0.000866 0.001148 0.001580 0.002353
2026-03-08 0.000436 0.000534 0.000664 0.000853 0.001137 0.001575 0.002371